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- Testimony Summary for "Networks of the Future"
- FCC Hearing
- Mitchell Kapor, Electronic Frontier Foundation
- May 1, 1991
-
-
- By the end of the next decade, today's computer networks and telephone
- systems will evolve into a web of digital links connecting nearly all homes
- and businesses in the U.S. This "National Public Network" will support
- commerce, learning, education, and entertainment in our society.
-
- At its best, this National Public Network could be the source of immense
- social benefits. As a means of increasing cohesiveness, while retaining
- the diversity that is an American strength, the network could help
- revitalize this country's business and culture.
-
- To design the NPN we must nurture a diverse community of participants, who
- together will evolve the National Public Network to its fullest potential.
- The Commission is to be congratulated for seeking a diversity of counsel by
- undertaking such programs as today's "Networks of the Future". I am
- pleased to appear before the Commission today as an entrepreneur, software
- designer, and concerned citizen.
-
- I want to share my vision of the applications which will drive demand for
- services on the National Public Network. Applications are so important
- because users are interested in doing something new with technology in
- order to make a difference in their lives. They have an aversion to
- technology itself. We should therefore give as much attention to
- applications as we do to the construction of the underlying network.
-
- Key Applications
-
- We don't know and probably can't know the key applications of the NPN. The
- users and entrepreneurs of the network will surprise us, in the same way
- that the electronic spreadsheet came as a complete surprise. Just as the
- Apple II personal computer was a platform that allowed others to invent new
- applications, the NPN can be a platform for information entrepreneurship.
-
- While we can't predict which applications will open up huge new markets, we
- can make a few educated guesses, based on today's prototypes. These
- include the Internet, a decentralized, anarchic web of computers and
- electronic mailboxes, linking major universities and industrial research
- labs around the world. Other "Petri dishes" of social ferment include
- smaller, regional computer conferencing systems like the Whole Earth
- 'Lectronic Link (the WELL) and a turbulent mass of tens of thousands
- non-commercial computer bulletin board systems linked in the Fidonet
- network.
-
- Messaging will be popular: time and time again, from the ARPAnet to
- Prodigy, people have surprised network planners with their eagerness to
- exchange mail. "Mail" will not just mean voice and text, but also pictures
- and video -- no doubt with many new variations.
-
- We know from past demand that the network will be used for electronic
- assembly -- virtual town halls, village greens, and coffee houses, again
- taking place not just through shared text (as in today's computer
- networks), but with multi-media transmissions, including images, voice, and
- video. Unlike the telephone, this network will also be a publications
- medium, distributing electronic newsletters, video clips and interpreted
- reports. It will also be an information marketplace which will include
- electronic invoicing, billing, listing, brokering, advertising,
- comparison-shopping, and matchmaking of various kinds.
-
- Innovation Enablers
-
- I believe it is possible to identify several key innovation enablers which,
- if applied in the context of the NPN, will result in a more rapid emergence
- of high-demand applications. These factors strongly imply directions for
- national policy and business strategy which are mentioned under each point.
-
- 1. Design the NPN as an Applications Platform
-
- The most valuable contribution of the computer industry in the past ten
- years is not a machine, but an idea -- the principle of open architecture.
- In computing, the hardware and system software companies create a
- "platform" whose specifications are published openly and which seeks to
- attract independent third parties to develop applications for it.
- Similarly, we need to think how to make the NPN into an attractive platform
- for the development of new information products and services.
-
- The most useful role of Apple's famous "software evangelists" is not
- selling the virtues of the Macintosh to application developers, but
- listening to them to help Apple improve the design of its platform.
- Perhaps the RBOC's need evangelists too.
-
- It isn't possible for the platform vendor to identify an appropriate set of
- application developers, but a well-designed commercial platform will
- naturally attract developers.
-
- The platform must be designed to be appealing to the application
- developers. It cannot be thought up in isolation and foisted onto the
- market in the hope that it will be found interesting.
-
- A computer platform is more than the hardware. The NPN platform will be
- far more than the wires. It must include a basket of basic services for
- directories and billing that are accessible and available to all providers.
-
- 2. Understand and Capitalize on Market-mediated Innovation.
-
- In the early stages of development of an industry, low barriers to entry
- stimulate competition. They enable a very large initial set of products
- for consumers to choose from. Out of these the market will learn to ignore
- almost all in order to standardize on a few, such as a Lotus 1-2-3. The
- winners will be widely emulated in the next generation of products, which
- will in turn generate a more refined form of marketplace feedback. In this
- fashion, early chaos evolves quickly a set of high-demand products and
- product categories.
-
- This process of market-mediated innovation is best catalyzed by creating an
- environment in which it is inexpensive and easy for entrepreneurs to
- develop products. The greater the number of independent enterprises, each
- of which puts at voluntary risk the intellectual and economic capital of
- risk-takers, is the best way to find out what the market really wants. The
- businesses which succeed in this are the ones which will prosper.
-
- It is worthwhile to note that not a single major PC software company today
- dates from the mainframe era. Yesterday's garage shop is today's
- billion-dollar enterprise. Policies for the NPN should therefore not only
- accommodate existing information industry interests, but anticipate and
- promote the next generate of entrepreneurs.
-
- There should be thousands of information proprietors on the net, just as
- there are thousands of producers of personal computer software and
- thousands of publishers of books and magazines. It should be as easy to
- provide an information service as to order a business telephone. Just as
- every business is automatically listed in the Yellow Pages, every online
- provider should be listed in a national digital Yellow Pages.
-
- 3. Design the NPN for Transparency and Ease of Use
-
- "Transparency," in computer circles, is a subjective state of awareness --
- and a desirable one. When a program is perfectly transparent, people
- forget about the fact that they are using a computer. The most successful
- computer programs are nearly always transparent: a spreadsheet, for
- instance, is as self-evident as a ledger page.
-
- Personal computer communications, by contrast, are practically opaque.
- Users must be aware of baud rates, parity, duplex, and file transfer
- protocols -- all of which a reasonably well-designed network could handle
- for them. When newcomers find themselves confronting what John Perry
- Barlow calls a "savage user interface" the excitement about being part of
- an extended community quickly vanishes. On a National Public Network, that
- would be a disaster.
-
- Therefore it is crucial the NPN platform be designed with the proper basic
- functions and capabilities to promote ease of use.
-